Analytics

West Siberian Resources-Alliance Oil merger logical

YEREVAN, January 16. /ARKA/. Russian oil companies Alliance (Alliance Oil) and West Siberian Resources (WSR), which is traded in Stockholm, announced their unification on January 15.

Тhe merger will create one more vertically integrated oil company, with a capitalization of $2.5 billion, which will mine and process hydrocarbons and sell the output. The unification of all stages of the oil process promises the company a bright future.

WSR is an independent Russian oil company incorporated in Bermuda. WSR's exploration and production assets provide a combination of current oil production with significant low-risk development and exploration potential. Alliance Oil is a leading independent Russian oil company refining crude oil and marketing refined products in the Russian Far East and neighboring export markets.

Under the terms of the deal, which is to be completed in March, Alliance Oil, currently controlled by the Bazhayevs, a Russian business family, will become a 100% subsidiary of WSR, while the current owners will hold a controlling stake (60%) in WSR following the issue of additional shares. WSR shareholders will own only a 40% stake in their company.
Experts say that this is a fair deal, because the current capitalization of WSR is about $1 billion, while Alliance Oil costs $1.5 billion.

After the merger, WSR will remain a public company with a listing on the Stockholm Stock Exchange. The company’s top leaders will keep their posts, while representatives of Alliance Oil will hold only a third of the seats on the new board of WSR directors.

The two companies complement each other quite successfully. WSR operates in three of Russia's largest oil basins: West Siberia (Tomsk), Timano-Pechora and Volga-Urals. It produced 1.5 million metric tons (11.02 million bbl) of crude last year and plans to increase production to 4 million tons (29.4 million bbl) by 2011. But it has only one processing facility, the Alexandrov Refinery in the Tomsk Region.

Alliance Oil has a large refinery in Khabarovsk (with a turnover 3.2 million tons of crude a year, to be increased to 4.5 million tons by 2011) and 260 filling stations in Russia’s Far East. But it has only one oil-producing unit in the Republic of Tatarstan in the Volga region.

The unified company will bring together the partners’ upstream (oil production) and downstream (refining and marketing) assets, producing a synergic effect. In other words, the merger will cut spending and strengthen the company’s position in the market.

There are many examples of this effect in the global economy, but the result will be especially important in Russia, because the sky-high oil export duties are rapidly making domestic refining a more profitable business. Revenues will be especially high if one refines its own oil.
Russia’s first vertically integrated oil companies were set up as a result of the privatization of state-owned companies, but now the process is following market rules, i.e., mergers and acquisitions.

A relevant example is the merger of Sibir Energy and the Moscow Oil and Gas Company (MOGC). Last autumn Sibir Energy, a London listed oil company with production and reserves in the U.K. and Russia, merged with MOGC, which is now a 100% owned subsidiary of Sibir. The new Sibir is a fully integrated oil and gas company with rapidly growing production as well as significant refining, marketing and retail assets, including a controlling stake in both the 240,000 barrel per day Moscow Refinery and 139 gas stations in Moscow and the Moscow Region. The merger boosted its shares on stock exchanges by almost 30%.

We can expect the same effect from the merger of WSR and Alliance Oil. But the unified company will face a difficult problem. As of now, the Khabarovsk refinery is processing twice the amount of oil produced by WSR, which intends to increase production mainly in the Timano-Pechora oil and gas province in the north of European Russia, a long way from Khabarovsk in the Far East.

Therefore, the unified company may buy new assets in East Siberia, especially since the East Siberia-Pacific Ocean oil pipeline, which is to come on stream soon, may have an offshoot to the Khabarovsk refinery. -0-

RIA Novosti economic commentator Oleg Mityayev

17/01/2008 11:33



Market USD exchange rates
Market EUR exchange rates
Market exchange rates 12/03/2010
Currency Symbol Unit Rate Changes
USA Dollar USD 1 392.62 1.21
Euro EUR 1 540.01 5.34
Russian Rоublе RUR 1 13.40 0.11

Favorable еxchange rates of banks 12/03/2010
Currency Buy Sell
USD 391.5
Armenian Development Bank
394
ACBA-CREDIT AGRICOLE BANK
Araratbank
Byblos Bank Armenia
Conversebank
ProCreditBank
“ArmSwissBank”
Euro 534
"VTB Bank (Armenia)"
ACBA-CREDIT AGRICOLE BANK
Ameriabank
Prometey Bank
“ArmSwissBank”
541
ACBA-CREDIT AGRICOLE BANK
Cascade Bank
“ArmSwissBank”
RUR 13.2
"VTB Bank (Armenia)"
Ardshininvestbank
BTA Bank
Prometey Bank
13.35
ProCreditBank

Macroeconomics
Indicator Term Figures
economic growth,% 2009-12 85.6
GBP, billion AMD 2009-12 3165.5
inflation, % 2010-01 101.7
Budget deficit (proficit), bln AMD 2009-12 148.3
trade deficit, mln USD 2009-12 -2606.4
foreign trade turnover, mln USD 2009-12 4001.9
foreign trade turnover, % 2009-12 73
Gross External Reserves, mln. USD 2009-12 2003.41
Monetary base, billion AMD 2009-12 511.7
Money supply, billion AMD 2009-12 815

Financial market
Indicator Term Figures
Anual interests on loans
Legal entities in AMD 2010-01 14.8
Legal entities in USD 2010-01 13.5
Individuals in AMD 2010-01 22
Individuals in USD 2010-01 17.6
Anual interests on deposits
Legal entities in AMD 2010-01 6.5
Legal entities in USD 2010-01 5.4
Individuals in AMD 2010-01 9.1
Individuals in USD 2010-01 5.3
Annual profitability
state stock of CBA, % 2008-08 8
fiscal stock of Armenia, % 2010-01 8.8

The percents of the CBA
Indicator Term Figures
Banking rate 2010-03 13
Repo 2010-03 6.5
Credit 2010-03 9.5
Depo 2010-03 3.5



...